Codex reset notices, history, and probability

Codex Reset Observatory

Check Codex reset forecasts, official updates, and recent reset history in one place.

Current status

Random resetLikelihood: Very High

Within 24h
46%
Within 48h
88%
Official reset notice
None
Reset teaser
Present
Codex incidents
None
Since the last random reset
8 days and 19 hours
Current outlook
Tibo is strongly hinting at a reset. The hinted window is , so the chance of a reset is higher than usual.
Last updated:

Related Tibo post

Tibo (@thsottiaux)

Replying to

@udiWertheimer

ok tibo you guys didn’t ship anything interesting this week you owe us a banked reset sorry i don’t make the rules

Tibo's reply

OK fine. But it’s also still coming in Tuesday
Observed classification
Reset hint
Posted
Source
View post

Reset history

Recent reset events

Weekly reset

Category
Weekly reset
Reset method
Hard Reset
Eligibility
Accounts without a Banked Reset

The timing of regular resets may vary by user.

Reset:

Compensation Reset Following Quality Fixes

Category
Random reset
Reset method
Hard Reset
Reset:

Banked Reset Issue Compensation Reset

Category
Random reset
Reset method
Banked Reset distribution
Eligibility
Some users
Reset:

Tibo's Never Gonna Give You Up Reset

Category
Random reset
Reset method
Hard Reset
Reset:

GPT-6 Astra Launch Celebration Reset (2nd)

Category
Random reset
Reset method
Banked Reset distribution
Reset:

Past random reset times

Past random reset times are grouped by hour on desktop and by two-hour blocks on mobile.

Reset records: n=

Past random reset intervals

Past intervals between consecutive random resets are grouped by elapsed time. Each interval runs from one random reset to the next.

About Codex Reset Observatory

Codex Reset Observatory is an unofficial site that organizes public information about Codex usage-limit resets. It summarizes the current situation using confirmed global resets and account-specific reset grants, official notices from OpenAI and people involved in development, and OpenAI Status.

The 24-hour and 48-hour reset likelihoods are statistical reference values calculated from past random reset intervals and current observed signals. They are not official probabilities from OpenAI. Confirmed cases are listed in the reset history, while the FAQ explains how the forecast is calculated and how the site's terms are used.

Codex Reset Observatory Guide & FAQ

Preparing for usage limits and reading forecast signals

Codex is an essential agentic coding companion, but hitting weekly allowance limits or rate caps halts productive development. This observatory aggregates confirmed global reset events, official notices, and incident-driven compensation resets (wabi-resets) in real time to help developers plan ahead and prevent costly downtime.

The 24-hour and 48-hour reset likelihoods combine an empirical baseline derived from historical event cadence with real-time indicators: OpenAI Status incidents, developer teaser posts (evaluating hinted time windows and confidence levels), and community signals. These statistical reference values serve as practical guidance for pacing tasks or deciding when to redeem a Banked Reset.

Frequently Asked Questions

Key points regarding Codex and ChatGPT Work usage limit resets.

What is the reset likelihood and how is it calculated?

It is a statistical reference forecast indicating the likelihood of an upcoming reset. An empirical baseline derived from historical cadence is dynamically calibrated using official notices, OpenAI Status incident logs, and community signals. It is not an official probability from OpenAI.

What is the difference between regular cycles and special resets?

Regular resets follow scheduled periodic refreshes. Special or compensation resets (often called wabi-resets or celebration resets) are unscheduled events executed by OpenAI following service outages, capacity issues, or milestone events.

Does a Codex reset also affect ChatGPT Work?

Yes. On eligible plans, Codex and ChatGPT Work share the same agentic usage and credits pool. A reset affecting that shared pool restores limits for both Codex and ChatGPT Work, though applicability may vary depending on plan specifics.

How are reset teaser posts reflected in the forecast?

Teaser posts are analyzed separately from official notices. When terms like tomorrow, tonight, weekdays, or specific hours are resolved, the forecast weighs the hinted window overlap and hint strength against the 24h and 48h windows. Unresolvable hints decay gradually over time.

When should I use a Banked Reset (Manual Reset)?

A Banked Reset allows you to manually refresh your usage limits on demand. It is best used strategically: when reset likelihood is low and immediate progress is essential, use your Banked Reset; when likelihood is high or an official notice is imminent, consider waiting for a potential global reset.